December 30, 2009

USD/JPY

HS shoulder target reached.  90 pips in one day…

 

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December 28, 2009

USD/JPY

monthly: a long time bottom has been hit.  a seven-year-long 5-3-5 correction is over…

 

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Daily: some overhead resistance, but I think we will get over this soon.  intermediate wave 3 underway…

 

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15mins:  reverse SH in formation.

 

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December 22, 2009

1120!!!

add short at 1120 as planned, also reload the USD long position vs JPY and EUR

 

btw, if VIX data is real, then today is definitely the top…

 

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a quick update

very light positions right now in both stocks and Forex.  closed quite some long postions USC tonight~  700 pips in EUR/USD.  this maybe a little early, but I do not wanna to bet on tomorrow’s GDP number…

 

some stock short positions get stopped again, will add short if market it 1120 region…

December 17, 2009

one more pair breakout

USD/CAD

December 16, 2009

FED Day

for those not comfortable with huge volatility, you can clear your position now.  speculation for Fed’s decision will drive the market mad…  It will be even more volatile after the announcement, however it’s a good time to find some bargains….

USD/JPY

Cautious player can step in now.

 

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if you missed this pair from 85 region, it’s still not too late.  this setup will let us to 92 first…

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another strong sector

Besides the solar sector I mentioned yesterday, another sector caught my attention today, airlines.  though this sector has rallied for a while, it’s just give a good buy on the weekly base.  wait for the pullback to MA and pull the trigger…

December 15, 2009

Current theme

1 long USD; short EUR and JPY

 

2 Short US equity market in General, esp finance and housing sector;

 

3 long Solar sector, my favorite long positions are STP; YGE and SPWRA

 

4 no touch on GOLD at this price level; expect more pullback at midterm.

December 11, 2009

Symmetrical Triangle on EUR/USD

which side do you choose? :)

 

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December 9, 2009

Two picks

Bullish pick: RMBS   

 

break out with a nice volume.  buy signal on weekly chart also.  if retest the neckline and bounce back, it will be a good buy.

 

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Bearish pick: RIG

 

A-B-C wave correction is done and also in downtrend (lower low and lower high).  Many stocks already show very similar pattern.  I take RIG out since the sub-wave structure is really clear on this one.

 

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December 8, 2009

EUR

a good place to take some profit is around 1.463.  major support and w3=1.618 * w1 zone.

 

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let it roll

Long USD; short EUR and CAD

 

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December 5, 2009

This is Dubai

 

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December 4, 2009

it’s just a start…

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Today is the top?

today really reminds me NoV 2007.  leader is sold off while market hold…

Let the profit run!

my faith in strong USD finally get paid.  no cover yet… also USD/CAD pair just break out.

 

btw, we will see some very similar in stock market soon.

 

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December 3, 2009

look at the volume!

volume tells the truth… 

 

 

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December 2, 2009

EUR/USD

long term top in this area.  if you short yesterday when wedge was broken, already 70 pips gain.  hold it on

 

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Long FEED at 5.01

reenter at 5.03.  daily chart and weekly chart, this is a stock with great potential…

 

ok, closed at 5.02… no breakout i expected…

 

who said i only short… :)

SPX short entry

at the circle

 

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market new high

After weeks of box consolidation, finally bulls win…  P2 still in progress, can be ended anytime…  still long USD and short equity…

 

my call on USD remains valid, still no new low yet after Nov 26.

December 1, 2009

no new high

it’s the third time ES test the 1112.25 high.  If we fail again this time, it will be a very very bearish sign. 

 

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EUR/USD

breakdown indeed. 20 pips in the pocket right now.

 

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reenter the position at 1.5106.  one more shot..

 

closed the position at 1.5106.  very choppy here. don’t want to take risk.

 

OK, retest the trendline now.  short at 1.5112

 

15min chart. wedge broken.  short at retest

 

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