April 3, 2009

04/03/2009 Intraday update

3:51pm

OK, a last post for the day.  the DJI is more obvious a H&S pattern than SPY.  things will not be clear until next week.

Have a nice weekend.

3:46pm

another retest. the more a line is tested, the more convincing it’s a trendline.

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3:40pm

The market further drops as i mentioned minutes ago.  If we zoom out, it’s clear that the move in the past two-days are just like island, isn’t it?

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3:27pm

The wedge has been broken already and not it’s a retest.  We can see more selloffs in the last half hr. 

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3:21pm

The selloff has no volume, which is good sign at the beginning of the sell.

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3:10pm

cover GS @ 117.4, $1.1 Gain in the pocket.

2:54pm

fail to make higher high and it looks like a wedge now

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2:45pm

short GS @ 118.3; stop at HOD.

2:38pm

Now the questions remain for today is whether we can make a higher high.  If we close now, it will be inside day, which means it’s a indecisive pattern and market can move either way huge the next day.

2:17pm

OK, I will take profits for the long positions initiated this week.  Won’t keep them over the weekend. This rally can edge higher, but I won’t take more risk on it. 

1:58pm

As I said, financials are continuing lead the market higher.  GS just break out, XLF follows up well.

1:48pm

Market has been trading in a small range for quite some.  Financials are still strong and standing well above the 50ema.  watch closely on GS

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12:50pm

wow, a huge red candle.  I was about to say that a long time hanging on the resistance will lead to a fall, but i was caught on a phone.  Now It fails~ 50ema is still a support.  Ben’s talk is over?  it’s always sell on Ben’s talk these days :)

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12:30pm

the market is hanging on the neckline and i believe it will break it based on the strength we have.  20ema are crossing 50ema on 5m chart. bears be careful. 

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12:23pm

GS break out from the wedge and lead the financials higher.

12:10pm

Let’s zoom out and take a look at the larger picture.  the SPY just retest the broken trendline yesterday.  there could be a final push to the update before rolling down under 800.  Further rally need some base formation

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12:00pm

Market just break through the 50ema and retesting the neckline.  bulls have to take it out to demonstrate the strength.

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