June 14, 2009

SPX weekly chart

A simple chart for this weekend.   I do not believe market has the strength to break above the multi resistance level without any consolidation.  also Monday, 6/15,  is an important time level that could lead to a big reversal.  Of course, it can be one day off the chart, so if we indeed see the reversal Tuesday again, do not surprise.

 

 

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Also next week is the OE week.  June is big month for options and many leaped calls will be expired.  Both equity and index put/call ration has been staying in a very low range for the past three months.  Option mm have to do something next week, or their loss on the calls they wrote could be a horrible number. 

 

Ending diagonal is still my current view and i tend to believe 1) market peak is 6/11; 2) the peak is next Tuesday and we reverse at the end of that trading day.  I prefer 1 more.

 

One more daily chart below:  momentum negative divergence and volume is fading.  This rally won’t sustain any more.

 

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EWI has a different count, just paste below for your reference.  

 

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